All. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. . FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. send a tweet. No place like 'Nam. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. ( Businessweek) The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. No products in the cart. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. 11:03 AM. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. Join. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. The data behind that evolution is striking. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. r/fivethirtyeight. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 0:00:00 FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. 01:00 PM. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. MANAGER'S SALARY. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. RSS Loading. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. 266, the . The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. heritage commons university of utah. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. File Upload. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. Instagram did not return a 200. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. Dive in and Share your insights! Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving.

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